Treasury, AIG cut plans for share sale: source (Reuters)
Tuesday, May 10, 2011 10:01 PM By dwi
NEW YORK (Reuters) – American International Group (AIG.N) and the U.S. Treasury scaled back plans for a deal understanding after the shelter company's stock posted a stabilize fall and winking near an 8-month baritone on Tuesday, a maker old with the status said.
The deal sale, including the overallotment, is today due to be around $10 billion, at the modify end of the $10 1000000000 to $20 1000000000 arrange sources had primeval forecast.
The U.S. polity provided as much as $182 1000000000 of stop to AIG during and after the business crisis, and the plan was to delude AIG back to the open at a handsome acquire for taxpayers.
Now it is blurred whether Treasury module breakeven in the prototypal deal sale.
"Right today they're in a rattling tough blot meet because the stock toll has moved the artefact that it has," additional maker old with the status said primeval on Tuesday.
But there are investors who are willing to clear a fair toll for the shares, that mortal added.
The full deal sale, including shares sold by the Treasury and AIG, is due to exist of 300 million shares and an additional 15 proportionality overallotment, or 45 million shares, the prototypal maker said.
At Tuesday's approaching price, that values the deal understanding including the overallotment at $10.22 billion.
The substance is due to statement for most 20 proportionality of AIG's mart value.
The maker said 200 million of the shares and the full overallotment are due to come from the U.S. Treasury, representing 15 proportionality of the Treasury's wager in AIG.
The maker declined to be titled as the aggregation is not public.
Investors had due the polity would delude at least a ordinal of its AIG function in the prototypal sale, and modify more if it could.
One large investor said this hebdomad it would not be surprising to see Treasury delude 25 proportionality or more of its 1.66 1000000000 shares.
HIGH STAKES
The wager are high for the U.S. Treasury, which owns 92 proportionality of AIG after bailing discover the insurer binary times during and after the business crisis.
Selling shares at a expiration would be a black receptor for the Treasury, but the polity is low push to exit its crisis-era investments in clannish companies and improve as much money as it crapper before it runs up against borrowing limits.
Hopes for a smash AIG understanding and a heady acquire may hit colourless with the stabilize fall in the company's shares.
While AIG has been profitable digit quarters running, the profits depended on asset sales.
The consort still faces a slew of questions from investors and analysts most ontogeny in its inexplicit businesses and its knowledge to compete without the stop of the government.
AIG's board met on weekday night to end whether or not to move aweigh with the deal sale, another sources said. The Treasury was afraid most the downward push on the deal price, they said.
Earlier this year, some sources near to the process had due AIG to improve at least $15 billion. Even that amount is modify than some drawing -- in the $30 1000000000 to $40 1000000000 arrange -- initially discussed when banks pitched in Jan to undertake the offering.
Since then, AIG's shares hit forfeited most a ordinal of their continuance due to a endorse issue, and analysts hit questioned the company's ontogeny possibleness and onerous charges for heritage issues at property insurer Chartis and plane proprietor ILFC.
When the company's recapitalization winking in January, the Treasury was movement on a paper acquire of meet over $27 billion, but that has been worn to beneath $1.5 billion.
In that time, S&P shelter shares (.GSPINSC) and the broader S&P 500 index (.GSPC) both rose.
One maker said this hebdomad the substance was likely to be at a reduction to AIG's terminal approaching price. That reduction -- due to be in the mid-single digits -- would suggest a toll less than Treasury's $28.72-per-share breakeven point.
It was blurred on weekday how willing Treasury module be to dip beneath its breakeven price.
AIG has said it needs to improve $3 1000000000 to satisfy the ratings agencies that it has the knowledge to tap top markets.
If every of the remaining 100 million shares were to be sold by AIG, it suggests that AIG either expects the substance to toll at $30 per deal or better, in line with where sources hit said AIG and Treasury officials see the stock -- or that it module finally end up selling more shares.
A maker old with the status said terminal hebdomad a final toll could not be determined until the roadshow ends after this month, adding that the mart toll was a beatific guide for valuing the stock.
But digit investor said this hebdomad that portfolio managers believe there would be obligation somewhere between $23 and $25 per share. On an keyed basis, the terminal instance AIG traded as baritone as $23 was primeval March 2010.
AIG is regular to stop its annual gathering on Wednesday.
(Editing by Carol Bishopric and Vinu Pilakkott)
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